2021 Olympic Games 10000m Previews and Predictions

2021 Olympic Games 10000m Previews and Predictions Mens and Women’s

Moriel Carreon, aka. The Pinoymiler

Moriel Carreon contributed to this article. Aka. Yel Carreon! Aka. The original Pinoymiler!!! YON OH!!

Moriel Carreon was the founder of the Pinoymiler website, which I wrote articles for many years. He is a former UST Alumni who ran middle distance events. He is a guru on Philippines Distance Running knowledge.

Moriel’s Middle Distance predictions

2021 Olympic Games 10000m Mens

The mens 10,000m is another great treat for the athletics fans.  The field is so deep it will involve 3 teams.  Team Uganda, Ethiopia, and Kenya will definitely dominate. 

Expect team tactics and strategies to be implemented, especially by the Ethiopians, to overcome world record holder Joshua Cheptegei of Uganda.  Selemon Barega, Berihu Aregawi, and Yomif Kejelcha (2019 world silver) all submitted marks of 26:50 or below this 2021 season.

Kenyans Geoffrey Kamworor (2019 World XC bronze) and Rodgers Kwemoi (2019 Worlds 4th) are legitimate medal contenders, while Weldon Kipkurui Langat might be used as a phase setter or to cover any breakaway attempts of the field.

Ugandans Jacob Kiplimo, the 20-year-old world half-marathon champion and world cross country silver medalist, and Joshua Cheptegei look formidable as well to win medals at the 10,000m. 

I will not be surprised if, at the bell, there will be 7 or 8 runners still bunched together.  But in the end, I think Joshua CHEPTEGEI will prevail.  Not far behind are Kejelcha, Kiplimo, Barega, Aregawi, and Kwemoi.


2021 Olympic Games 10000m Women’s

This forecast is dependent on Hassan’s decision to participate in three events: 1500m, 5000m, and 10,000m.

If this pushes through, Siffan, by the time of the 10,000m finals, has run 5 races (3 rounds of 1500m and 2 rounds of 5000m).

World record holder Letesenbet Gidey on the other hand, has fresher legs.  The Ethiopian Athletics Federation has decided to split the 5000m and 10000m between Tsegay and Gidey, respectively, to ensure Ethiopian gold in both events.  A brilliant move to counter and even sap Hassan’s strength and stamina.

The two other Ethiopians, Tsigie Gebreselama and Tsehay Gemechu and Ethiopian-born Kalkidan GEZAHEGNE of Bahrain, might fight for the bronze.

Kenya’s strongest bet is  Hellen Obiri (2019 Worlds 5th) but based on her 2021 mark, she might not be at par with Gidey and Hassan.

Expect a titanic race between the two world record holders (Hassan held the world record for two days before Gidey broke it).  It’s a rematch of their 2019 match at the World Championships, where Gidey kicked with four laps to go, dropping everybody except Hassan.  Hassan’s final 1500m was 3:59, and her final lap was 59s in that race.

Expect a different strategy to be implemented by Gidey, so sit back, relax and enjoy this once-in-a-lifetime race.  We are all in for a massive treat.






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